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Global Transport: What does the future hold beyond COVID-19?

The COVID-19 pandemic has triggered a mobility crisis, mainly because of physical distancing requirements and the necessity to avoid confined spaces, in order to limit the virus’ propagation. This has had a disastrous impact on the global transport sector, with air passenger transport being the most affected segment.

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United States: Two-speed business bankruptcies

The COVID-19 pandemic has hit the United States (U.S.) very hard, inflicting a heavy human and economic toll.

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Asia Corporate Payment Survey 2020: COVID-19 will overturn last year’s incipient recovery

After a 2019 that was dominated by trade tensions between the United States and China, Coface has observed an incipent recovery in Asia (excluding China), supported by supply chain shifts and additional liquidity from the US Federal Reserve . Average payment terms improved in 2019, rising to 67 days compared to 69 days in 2018. And while 65% of companies reported experiencing payment delays in 2019 (63% in 2018), the average payment duration decreased to 85 days in 2019, down from 88 days in 2018.

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Focus: Are corporate balance sheets in Spain and Italy ready for the COVID-19 shock?

Spain and Italy will be amongst the economies hardest hit by COVID-19, contracting by 12.8% and 13.6% respectively in 2020, according to Coface’s forecasts. Taking a closer look at the health of Spanish and Italian corporate balance sheets should help identify pockets of vulnerability where widespread defaults are more likely to materialize.

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Focus: Corporate insolvencies in Europe - temporary framework amendments kick the can down the road

The economic consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic are of an unprecedented scale in Europe. The twin supply-demand shock has resulted in the halting of production (at least partially) in many companies as employees cannot go to work and in a fall in consumption because of mobility restrictions. The decline in revenues has deteriorated companies’ cash positions, fostering an increase in payment delays – and, ultimately, payment defaults.

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Country & Sector Risk Barometer: Q2 2020 Quarterly Update

From a massive shock to a differentiated recovery

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CHINA PAYMENT SURVEY 2020: PAYMENT DELAYS WILL INCREASE FURTHER BECAUSE OF COVID-19

Our survey shows a deterioration in payment behaviour in 2019, which ultimately does not bode well for Chinese companies in the context of weaker activity in 2020. Coface expects growth to fall to 1.0%, the lowest level in 30 years, so given the historic correlation between economic activity and payment delays, we anticipate a sharp deterioration in 2020.

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Focus: World Trade - despite a sudden interruption, global value chains still have a bright future

In the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic, global trade has been dragged down by numerous factors. However, as tight border controls begin to ease and producers begin to adapt, the good news is that global value chains still have a bright future.

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ExpressECO | Year of the Rat 2020: a tipping point for #Asia’s economy?

Coface group has launched our new video series called ExpressECO. The first episode of this series is called ExpressECO “Year of the Rat 2020: a tipping point for Asia’s economy?” featuring our Asia-Pacific economist, Carlos Casanova.

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Focus: COVID-19 swings the spotlight back onto emerging countries’debt

While the focus, so far, has mainly been on China, Europe and the United States, the consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic are likely to be even more severe in emerging economies

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Focus: Can China shield its economy from the impact of COVID-19?

China will likely miss its 2020 growth target due to the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on the global economy.

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Country & Sector Risk Barometer: Q1 2020 Quarterly Update

COVID-19: heading towards a sudden global surge in corporate insolvencies

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Poland Payment Survey: reduced payment delays, but a challenging outlook

Despite the economic slowdown, Coface’s latest survey on business payments in Poland shows that payment delays have systematically shortened since 2017 - but the impact of the coronavirus epidemic on the Polish economy remains to be seen.

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Coface handbook: Country & Sector risks 2020

Download the Coface handbook about Country & Sector risks 2020. Tools for identifying, assessing and monitoring the risks businesses are facing.

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Barometer Q4 2019: Country Risk Conference Special

World trade in the face of political and environmental change.

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Country risk assessment map - february 2020

New edition of the country risk map. Consult, download and print the map of the 161 countries assessed by Coface.

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Turkey Payment Survey 2019: better picture in payment terms but companies are still cautious regarding economic prospects

Following the economic recession during the second half of 2018, the private sector remains mixed in terms of the economic outlook.

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Corporate insolvencies in France: fewer in number, larger in size

Corporate insolvencies fell by 3.3% in France during the first ten months of the year. After a difficult first quarter, due in particular to the repercussions of the “yellow vest” movement, they have been steadily declining since May 2019. As a result, the number of corporate insolvencies is expected to decline over the full year, for the fourth consecutive time. However, Coface expects a slight rebound of insolvencies in 2020 (+0.9%), for around 52,000 proceedings, mainly due to the expected slowdown in the construction sector that was largely driven by public works in 2019.

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The global automotive industry and enhanced regulations: a very steep path ahead

The global auto sector is facing several challenges including enhanced and stricter regulations against environmental risks in the context of a slowdown of the global economy.

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Germany Payment Survey 2019: Turn of the tide

This is the third edition of Coface’s survey on payment experience in Germany, done this summer, with 442 participating companies located in Germany. Our survey highlights that Germany is in a changing phase. The pressure on companies due to international competition is getting stronger. This is one of the reasons why German companies have increased their average credit period from 29.8 days to 35.9 days between 2017 and 2019.

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